Jon Hesse
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Real Estate News
Limited Follow-Through After Shockingly Big Miss
Thu, 18 Dec 2025 21:53:55 GMT

Limited Follow-Through After Shockingly Big Miss If you told the average trader that today's core CPI would come in at 2.6% vs 3.0% year over year, they would have expected a much bigger reaction than we saw toda..[read more]

Mortgage Rates Near Lowest Levels Since October
Thu, 18 Dec 2025 20:44:00 GMT

Officially, there were 2 days at the end of November where the average lender's 30yr fixed rates were just a hair lower (0.02% difference).  Otherwise, today's rates would be the lowest since late October. The improvement follows this morning's..[read more]

Jumbo, Hedging, HELOC, Custom Newsletter Products; STRATMOR the UWM/TWO Deal
Thu, 18 Dec 2025 16:51:54 GMT

Lender and Broker Services, Products, and Software "The federal quality control standards under Dodd Frank for automated valuation models (AVMs) require valuation professionals to provide greater transparency in how AVMs determine credible, consist..[read more]

Big Drop in Annual CPI, But Only a Cautious Rally So Far
Thu, 18 Dec 2025 13:47:18 GMT

Great news for bonds on the inflation front this morning: Core annual inflation came in at 2.6% compared to a 3.0% forecast and 3.0% last time.  It's the lowest reading of the cycle and the first attempt to break below the stagnant sideways/elev..[read more]

Slightly More Focus Than Normal on Thursday's CPI
Wed, 17 Dec 2025 21:17:15 GMT

Slightly More Focus Than Normal on Thursday's CPI Wednesday ended up being an uneventful trading day with bonds mostly sideways and well within the recent trading range. This isn't hard to believe given the absen..[read more]

Mortgage Rates Unchanged Ahead of Important Inflation Data
Wed, 17 Dec 2025 20:51:00 GMT

Mortgage rates were perfectly unchanged compared to yesterday's levels for the average lender. This wasn't a huge surprise considering the absence of any high stakes economic data, but tomorrow could be a different story. Rates are driven by bonds a..[read more]

AI Automation, U/W, CRM, Agency CEO Pay Cap; UAD 3.6 Update; Economic Jitters
Wed, 17 Dec 2025 16:47:35 GMT

Lender and Broker Services, Products, and Software Warehouse lending got a major upgrade in 2025. OptiFunder has transformed the industry with the first fully connected warehouse ecosystem that brings originators and warehouse lenders together. Its..[read more]

Quiet Calendar Ahead of Thursday's CPI
Wed, 17 Dec 2025 15:35:34 GMT

Wednesday is largely a placeholder as 2025's relevant trading days evaporate. Apart from the year-end influences on the 29th-31st, Thursday's CPI arguably represents the last opportunity to trade big ticket econ data until the early January jobs repo..[read more]

Unemployment Not High Enough For a Full-Fledged Rally
Tue, 16 Dec 2025 19:42:44 GMT

Unemployment Not High Enough For a Full-Fledged Rally If the only metric from this morning's jobs report was the uptick in unemployment from 4.4 to 4.6%, and if that was the last of this week's big ticket econ da..[read more]

Mortgage Rates Only Slightly Lower, But Volatility Risks Remain
Tue, 16 Dec 2025 19:08:00 GMT

There was a decent chance that rates would have made a fairly big move today in response to the release of November's jobs report. This is the most important economic data as far as rates are concerned and today's was the first full release since bef..[read more]

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